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Abstract
McElvaine
MD, McDowell RM, Fite RW, Miller L. "An
assessment of the
risk of foreign animal disease introduction into the United States of
America through garbage from Alaskan cruise ships," Revue
Scientifique et Techique,
1993, 12:4 (Dec), 1165-74
The United States Department
of Agriculture, Animal and Plant
Health Inspection Service (USDA-APHIS) has been exploring methods of
quantitative risk assessment to support decision-making, provide risk
management options and identify research needs. With current changes in
world trade, regulatory decisions must have a scientific basis which is
transparent, consistent, documentable and defensible. These
quantitative risk assessment methods are described in an accompanying
paper in this issue. In the present article, the authors provide an
illustration by presenting an application of these methods. Prior to
proposing changes in regulations, USDA officials requested an
assessment of the risk of introduction of foreign animal disease to the
United States of America through garbage from Alaskan cruise ships. The
risk assessment team used a combination of quantitative and qualitative
methods to evaluate this question. Quantitative risk assessment methods
were used to estimate the amount of materials of foreign origin being
sent to Alaskan landfills. This application of quantitative risk
assessment illustrates the flexibility of the methods in addressing
specific questions. By applying these methods, specific areas were
identified where more scientific information and research were needed.
Even with limited information, the risk assessment provided APHIS
management with a scientific basis for a regulatory decision.
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